Julia GillardWell, the headline says it all – Labor staring at landslide defeatThe latest Newspoll has Labor’s primary vote at just 30% - the Coalition’s at 50%Two-party-preferred that translates into a crushing Coalition victory 58% to 42%And Julia Gillard is also well behind Tony Abbott as preferred Prime Minister – 35% to 43%But Julia Gillard continues to brazenly assert she will win the September electionAnd, disturbingly, she may have some ammunition in her arsenalOne such piece of ammunition is new electoral laws sponsored by Labor which came into effect last July and which allow the Australian Electoral Commission to directly enrol voters based on information from motor registries, the Tax Office and the likeRoll updates based on the new system began in Tasmania in November 2012 and all States will begin updating their rolls by July this yearPerhaps this is why Julia Gillard has chosen a September election date?Because 4 special Newspolls conducted in August 2012 found the roughly one million more mostly young Australians who will be enrolled under the new system will be more likely to vote Labor than LiberalWhether that still remains true following recent debacles in Canberra remains to be seenBut every vote counts - the Coalition holds 10 seats where its margin is less than 2% two-party-preferredThe Gillard Government is surely curtainsBut don’t imagine there aren’t plenty of tricks yet to play in this campaign

The Alan Jones Breakfast show: Highlights

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